How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pamplona, at 64.5%. The other outcomes represent 35.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.5% · Draw: 18.6% · Away win: 17%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pamplona 1672; Huarte 1521. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 14:00
Pamplona
Elo 1672
0
-
0
Huarte
Elo 1521
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+151
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Pamplona1672
Huarte1521
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Pamplona
0Draws
0Huarte
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
WRONG
Home
64%
Draw
19%
Away
17%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
WRONG
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
39%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.