Correcaminos UAT II vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez

Liga Premier Serie A · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 · 16:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is La Tribu de Cd. Juarez, at 50.5%. The other outcomes represent 49.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 25.2% · Draw: 24.3% · Away win: 50.5%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Correcaminos UAT II 1458; La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 1551. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 3–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Liga Premier Serie A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026 · 16:00
Correcaminos UAT II
Elo 1458
3 - 1
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Elo 1551
FT HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W 0D 3L
Away Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Elo Advantage
-93

Elo rating comparison

Correcaminos UAT II1458
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez1551

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

—Correcaminos UAT II
—Draws
—La Tribu de Cd. Juarez

0 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
50% conf. WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
24%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf. CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf. WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
71% conf. WRONG
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
43% conf. WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
43%
Away
32%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf. CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf. CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf. WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf. CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf. CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf. WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf. CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%

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Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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