How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bollstanäs, at 44.7%. The other outcomes represent 55.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 33.5% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 44.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lidingö 1401; Bollstanäs 1489. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Norra Svealand · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:15
Lidingö
Elo 1401
0
-
4
Bollstanäs
Elo 1489
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-88
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lidingö1401
Bollstanäs1489
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Lidingö
0Draws
0Bollstanäs
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
22%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
35%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.