How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Hamilton Academical, at 75.7%. The other outcomes represent 24.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 75.7% · Draw: 12.5% · Away win: 11.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hamilton Academical 1719; Peterhead 1533. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
League One · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:30
Hamilton Academical
Elo 1719
2
-
1
Peterhead
Elo 1533
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+186
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Hamilton Academical1719
Peterhead1533
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Hamilton Academical
0Draws
0Peterhead
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
@ 1.26
Draw
12%
@ 5.17
Away
12%
@ 9.73
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
@ 1.80
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.04
No
7%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
@ 1.73
Draw
30%
@ 2.54
Away
12%
@ 8.20
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
@ 1.30
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
@ 1.19
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.63
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
@ 1.97
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.