How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Strasbourg W, at 43.9%. The other outcomes represent 56.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.9% · Draw: 24.1% · Away win: 31.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Strasbourg W 1491; Marseille W 1457. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Feminine Division 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:30
Strasbourg W
Elo 1491
3
-
3
Marseille W
Elo 1457
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+34
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Strasbourg W1491
Marseille W1457
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Strasbourg W
0Draws
2Marseille W
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
24%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
41%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.