How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unionistas de Salamanca, at 42.7%. The other outcomes represent 57.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.7% · Draw: 30.3% · Away win: 27%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Unionistas de Salamanca 1671; Cultural Leonesa 1680. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:45
Unionistas de Salamanca
Elo 1671
2
-
0
Cultural Leonesa
Elo 1680
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-9
Elo rating comparison
Unionistas de Salamanca1671
Cultural Leonesa1680
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Unionistas de Salamanca
—Draws
—Cultural Leonesa
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
30%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
34%
Draw
44%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.