How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sant Andreu, at 53.8%. The other outcomes represent 46.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.8% · Draw: 23.2% · Away win: 23%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sant Andreu 1777; Antequera 1689. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 15:30
Sant Andreu
Elo 1777
2
-
2
Antequera
Elo 1689
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+88
Elo rating comparison
Sant Andreu1777
Antequera1689
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Sant Andreu
—Draws
—Antequera
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
WRONG
Home
54%
Draw
23%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
39%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.