How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is St-Pryvé St-Hilaire, at 42.9%. The other outcomes represent 57.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.7% · Draw: 26.5% · Away win: 42.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Montlouis 1599; St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 1600. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
National 2 - Group A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 17:00
Montlouis
Elo 1599
1
-
0
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
Elo 1600
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-1
Elo rating comparison
Montlouis1599
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire1600
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Montlouis
—Draws
—St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
26%
Away
43%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
33%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
WRONG
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.