How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is RWDM, at 47.7%. The other outcomes represent 52.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 29.4% · Draw: 22.8% · Away win: 47.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Union Saint-Gilloise II 1630; RWDM 1711. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Amateur Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Elo 1630
4
-
2
RWDM
Elo 1711
FT
HT 3-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-81
Elo rating comparison
Union Saint-Gilloise II1630
RWDM1711
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Union Saint-Gilloise II
—Draws
—RWDM
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
23%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
34%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.