How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Dessel Sport, at 70.4%. The other outcomes represent 29.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 70.4% · Draw: 17.4% · Away win: 12.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Dessel Sport 1664; Harelbeke 1601. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Amateur Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 17:30
Dessel Sport
Elo 1664
4
-
0
Harelbeke
Elo 1601
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+62
Elo rating comparison
Dessel Sport1664
Harelbeke1601
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Dessel Sport
—Draws
—Harelbeke
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
70% conf.
CORRECT
Home
70%
Draw
17%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
38%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.