How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ostiches, at 58.6%. The other outcomes represent 41.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.6% · Draw: 19.7% · Away win: 21.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ostiches 1698; Stockay-Warfusée 1504. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second Amateur Division - ACFF · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 17:30
Ostiches
Elo 1698
1
-
2
Stockay-Warfusée
Elo 1504
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Elo Advantage
+194
Elo rating comparison
Ostiches1698
Stockay-Warfusée1504
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Ostiches
—Draws
—Stockay-Warfusée
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
WRONG
Home
59%
Draw
20%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
35%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.