How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Lebbeke, at 41.8%. The other outcomes represent 58.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41.8% · Draw: 26% · Away win: 32.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Lebbeke 1597; Ninove 1504. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second Amateur Division - VFV A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
FC Lebbeke
Elo 1597
5
-
0
Ninove
Elo 1504
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+93
Elo rating comparison
FC Lebbeke1597
Ninove1504
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—FC Lebbeke
—Draws
—Ninove
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
CORRECT
Home
36%
Draw
35%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.