How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is De Kempen, at 48.4%. The other outcomes represent 51.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 27% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 48.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Nijlen 1566; De Kempen 1647. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second Amateur Division - VFV B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
Nijlen
Elo 1566
1
-
4
De Kempen
Elo 1647
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Elo Advantage
-81
Elo rating comparison
Nijlen1566
De Kempen1647
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Nijlen
—Draws
—De Kempen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
25%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
26%
Draw
35%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
94% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
6%
No
94%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.