How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tubize, at 62.1%. The other outcomes represent 37.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 62.1% · Draw: 16.9% · Away win: 21%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tubize 1822; Habay-la-Neuve 1665. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Amateur Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
Tubize
Elo 1822
1
-
0
Habay-la-Neuve
Elo 1665
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+157
H2H (4)
2H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Tubize1822
Habay-la-Neuve1665
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Tubize
0Draws
2Habay-la-Neuve
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
17%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
36%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.