How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Roeselare Daisel, at 50.3%. The other outcomes represent 49.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.2% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 50.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 1654; Roeselare Daisel 1795. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Amateur Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Elo 1654
0
-
3
Roeselare Daisel
Elo 1795
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-142
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar1654
Roeselare Daisel1795
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
0Draws
2Roeselare Daisel
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
22%
Away
50%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
36%
Away
39%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.