How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mandel United, at 54.8%. The other outcomes represent 45.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.8% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 24.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mandel United 1803; Spouwen-Mopertingen 1726. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
First Amateur Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
Mandel United
Elo 1803
1
-
0
Spouwen-Mopertingen
Elo 1726
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+77
Elo rating comparison
Mandel United1803
Spouwen-Mopertingen1726
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Mandel United
—Draws
—Spouwen-Mopertingen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
33%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.