How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Concarneau, at 56.6%. The other outcomes represent 43.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.6% · Draw: 26.2% · Away win: 17.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Concarneau 1721; Gobelins 1637. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 3 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:45
Concarneau
Elo 1721
2
-
1
Gobelins
Elo 1637
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+84
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Concarneau1721
Gobelins1637
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Concarneau
2Draws
0Gobelins
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
@ 1.76
Draw
26%
@ 3.29
Away
17%
@ 4.33
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 2.06
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.14
No
15%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
@ 2.40
Draw
49%
@ 2.03
Away
18%
@ 4.92
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.45
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Over 1.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.39
No
36%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.