How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Versailles, at 51.1%. The other outcomes represent 48.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.1% · Draw: 29.1% · Away win: 19.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Versailles 1759; Valenciennes 1675. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ligue 3 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:45
Versailles
Elo 1759
1
-
0
Valenciennes
Elo 1675
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+84
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Versailles1759
Valenciennes1675
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Versailles
0Draws
2Valenciennes
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
@ 1.82
Draw
29%
@ 3.47
Away
20%
@ 3.76
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
@ 1.69
No
47%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.20
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
@ 1.86
No
48%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
@ 2.38
Draw
41%
@ 2.23
Away
22%
@ 4.19
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
@ 1.33
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
@ 1.24
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.