How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atletico Goianiense, at 72.1%. The other outcomes represent 27.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 72.1% · Draw: 15.1% · Away win: 12.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atletico Goianiense 1815; America Mineiro 1615. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 19:00
Atletico Goianiense
Elo 1815
2
-
0
America Mineiro
Elo 1615
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+200
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Atletico Goianiense1815
America Mineiro1615
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Atletico Goianiense
0Draws
0America Mineiro
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
72% conf.
CORRECT
Home
72%
@ 1.35
Draw
15%
@ 4.64
Away
13%
@ 8.77
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.80
No
44%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.06
No
7%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
57%
@ 1.83
Draw
33%
@ 2.41
Away
10%
@ 7.79
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.34
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.24
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
@ 1.79
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
@ 2.05
No
50%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.