How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cuiaba, at 68.5%. The other outcomes represent 31.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 68.5% · Draw: 22% · Away win: 9.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cuiaba 1749; Ponte Preta 1512. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 20:00
Cuiaba
Elo 1749
2
-
0
Ponte Preta
Elo 1512
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+237
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Cuiaba1749
Ponte Preta1512
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Cuiaba
0Draws
0Ponte Preta
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
68%
Draw
22%
Away
10%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
45%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.