How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Agropecuario, at 40.8%. The other outcomes represent 59.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.8% · Draw: 28% · Away win: 31.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Agropecuario 1564; Midland 1687. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Nacional · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 18:00
Agropecuario
Elo 1564
vs
Midland
Elo 1687
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-123
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Agropecuario1564
Midland1687
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Agropecuario
0Draws
2Midland
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
28%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
48%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
77% conf.
Yes
23%
No
77%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.