How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Atletico DE Rafaela, at 46.9%. The other outcomes represent 53.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.9% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 28.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Atletico DE Rafaela 1606; Atlanta 1592. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Nacional · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 20:30
Atletico DE Rafaela
Elo 1606
vs
Atlanta
Elo 1592
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+14
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Atletico DE Rafaela1606
Atlanta1592
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Atletico DE Rafaela
0Draws
2Atlanta
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
25%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
45%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
HT Over 1.5
75% conf.
Yes
25%
No
75%
Over 1.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.