How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Central Norte, at 46.0%. The other outcomes represent 54.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46% · Draw: 27.8% · Away win: 26.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Central Norte 1521; Racing Cordoba 1528. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Nacional · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 20:00
Central Norte
Elo 1521
vs
Racing Cordoba
Elo 1528
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-7
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Central Norte1521
Racing Cordoba1528
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Central Norte
0Draws
0Racing Cordoba
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
46%
Draw
28%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
51%
Away
20%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.