How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Chaco For Ever, at 49.3%. The other outcomes represent 50.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.3% · Draw: 28.6% · Away win: 22.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chaco For Ever 1573; Defensores De Belgrano 1545. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Nacional · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 20:00
Chaco For Ever
Elo 1573
vs
Defensores De Belgrano
Elo 1545
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+28
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Chaco For Ever1573
Defensores De Belgrano1545
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Chaco For Ever
2Draws
0Defensores De Belgrano
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
29%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
Yes
35%
No
65%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
Home
32%
Draw
49%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
HT Over 0.5
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
HT Over 1.5
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Over 1.5 Goals
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 3.5 Goals
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Win to Nil
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.