How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Colegiales, at 43.7%. The other outcomes represent 56.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.6% · Draw: 27.7% · Away win: 43.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Club Atlético Güemes 1449; Colegiales 1596. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Nacional · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 20:00
Club Atlético Güemes
Elo 1449
vs
Colegiales
Elo 1596
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-148
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Club Atlético Güemes1449
Colegiales1596
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Club Atlético Güemes
0Draws
2Colegiales
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
44%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
Home
24%
Draw
45%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.