How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Moron, at 60.6%. The other outcomes represent 39.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.6% · Draw: 21.9% · Away win: 17.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo Moron 1669; All Boys 1532. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Nacional · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
Deportivo Moron
Elo 1669
2
-
1
All Boys
Elo 1532
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
+137
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo Moron1669
All Boys1532
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Deportivo Moron
0Draws
2All Boys
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
@ 1.76
Draw
22%
@ 3.03
Away
17%
@ 5.29
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.73
No
42%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.12
No
16%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
@ 2.53
Draw
46%
@ 1.84
Away
15%
@ 6.36
HT Both Teams Score
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
HT Over 0.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.65
No
38%
HT Over 1.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Over 1.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.66
No
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.