How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Temperley, at 53.6%. The other outcomes represent 46.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.6% · Draw: 27.9% · Away win: 18.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Temperley 1673; Gimnasia Jujuy 1643. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera Nacional · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 18:00
Temperley
Elo 1673
2
-
1
Gimnasia Jujuy
Elo 1643
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
4D
0L
Elo Advantage
+30
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Temperley1673
Gimnasia Jujuy1643
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Temperley
0Draws
2Gimnasia Jujuy
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
54% conf.
CORRECT
Home
54%
@ 2.02
Draw
28%
@ 3.03
Away
19%
@ 3.84
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
@ 2.08
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.22
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
@ 1.71
No
50%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
@ 2.74
Draw
57%
@ 1.95
Away
16%
@ 4.61
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.53
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Over 1.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.47
No
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.