How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Merlo, at 45.3%. The other outcomes represent 54.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 45.3% · Draw: 28.2% · Away win: 26.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Deportivo Merlo 1416; Brown DE Adrogue 1442. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B Metropolitana · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 22:00
Deportivo Merlo
Elo 1416
0
-
0
Brown DE Adrogue
Elo 1442
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
-26
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Deportivo Merlo1416
Brown DE Adrogue1442
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Deportivo Merlo
0Draws
0Brown DE Adrogue
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
45%
Draw
28%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Away Clean Sheet
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
Draw
52%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Over 1.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.