How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sportivo Italiano, at 38.2%. The other outcomes represent 61.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.2% · Draw: 31.1% · Away win: 30.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sportivo Italiano 1567; Talleres Remedios 1575. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera B Metropolitana · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 18:00
Sportivo Italiano
Elo 1567
2
-
0
Talleres Remedios
Elo 1575
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-7
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sportivo Italiano1567
Talleres Remedios1575
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Sportivo Italiano
0Draws
0Talleres Remedios
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
@ 2.79
Draw
31%
@ 2.84
Away
31%
@ 2.58
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.42
No
36%
Double Chance X2
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
@ 1.35
No
32%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
CORRECT
Home
23%
@ 3.70
Draw
57%
@ 1.83
Away
19%
@ 3.49
HT Both Teams Score
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
HT Over 0.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
@ 1.60
No
42%
HT Over 1.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Over 1.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.60
No
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.