How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Central Ballester, at 47.8%. The other outcomes represent 52.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.8% · Draw: 28.4% · Away win: 23.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Central Ballester 1342; Deportivo Muñiz 1265. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera C · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 17:00
Central Ballester
Elo 1342
1
-
2
Deportivo Muñiz
Elo 1265
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+77
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Central Ballester1342
Deportivo Muñiz1265
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Central Ballester
0Draws
2Deportivo Muñiz
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
48%
Draw
28%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
46%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Over 1.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.