How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Deportivo Español, at 38.7%. The other outcomes represent 61.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.8% · Draw: 30.5% · Away win: 38.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Claypole 1361; Deportivo Español 1499. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera C · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 18:00
Claypole
Elo 1361
vs
Deportivo Español
Elo 1499
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-139
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Claypole1361
Deportivo Español1499
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Claypole
0Draws
2Deportivo Español
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
30%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
22%
Draw
47%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Over 1.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.