How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lujan, at 49.6%. The other outcomes represent 50.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.6% · Draw: 34.8% · Away win: 15.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lujan 1552; General Lamadrid 1393. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera C · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 18:00
Lujan
Elo 1552
1
-
0
General Lamadrid
Elo 1393
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+159
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Lujan1552
General Lamadrid1393
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Lujan
0Draws
0General Lamadrid
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
35%
Away
16%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
37%
Draw
50%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
HT Over 0.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
HT Over 1.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Over 1.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.