How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Centro Español, at 45.5%. The other outcomes represent 54.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28.7% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 45.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Leandro N. Alem 1279; Centro Español 1426. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera C · Tuesday, Oct 6 2026
· 17:00
Leandro N. Alem
Elo 1279
1
-
5
Centro Español
Elo 1426
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-146
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Leandro N. Alem1279
Centro Español1426
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Leandro N. Alem
0Draws
2Centro Español
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
29%
Draw
26%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
41%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.