How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sacachispas, at 43.5%. The other outcomes represent 56.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.5% · Draw: 26.3% · Away win: 30.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sacachispas 1419; Estrella Del Sur 1440. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera C · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 18:00
Sacachispas
Elo 1419
0
-
0
Estrella Del Sur
Elo 1440
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-22
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Sacachispas1419
Estrella Del Sur1440
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sacachispas
2Draws
0Estrella Del Sur
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
26%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
45%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
HT Over 1.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Over 1.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.