How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Sportivo Barracas, at 38.6%. The other outcomes represent 61.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 38.6% · Draw: 31.9% · Away win: 29.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Sportivo Barracas 1409; Leones de Rosario 1456. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Primera C · Monday, Oct 5 2026
· 18:00
Sportivo Barracas
Elo 1409
0
-
2
Leones de Rosario
Elo 1456
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-47
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Sportivo Barracas1409
Leones de Rosario1456
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Sportivo Barracas
0Draws
2Leones de Rosario
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
39%
Draw
32%
Away
30%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Away Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
53%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
HT Over 0.5
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
HT Over 1.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Over 1.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 3.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.