How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ivory Coast, at 66.5%. The other outcomes represent 33.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 66.5% · Draw: 21.8% · Away win: 11.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ivory Coast 1793; Cameroon 1668. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Friendlies · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 19:00
Ivory Coast
Elo 1793
0
-
1
Cameroon
Elo 1668
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+126
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ivory Coast1793
Cameroon1668
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ivory Coast
2Draws
0Cameroon
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
WRONG
Home
67%
Draw
22%
Away
12%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
WRONG
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
38%
Draw
48%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
HT Over 0.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
61%
No
39%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.