How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Beltinci, at 45.8%. The other outcomes represent 54.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.4% · Draw: 23.7% · Away win: 45.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ilirija 1560; Beltinci 1700. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. SNL · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Ilirija
Elo 1560
vs
Beltinci
Elo 1700
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-140
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Ilirija1560
Beltinci1700
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ilirija
0Draws
4Beltinci
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
24%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
21%
Draw
39%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.