How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bistrica, at 43.7%. The other outcomes represent 56.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.7% · Draw: 25.4% · Away win: 30.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bistrica 1639; Rudar 1647. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. SNL · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 13:00
Bistrica
Elo 1639
vs
Rudar
Elo 1647
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-9
Elo rating comparison
Bistrica1639
Rudar1647
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Bistrica
—Draws
—Rudar
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
44% conf.
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
Home
33%
Draw
41%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.