How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tabor Sežana, at 74.5%. The other outcomes represent 25.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 74.5% · Draw: 12% · Away win: 13.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tabor Sežana 1680; Krka 1511. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. SNL · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 16:00
Tabor Sežana
Elo 1680
2
-
1
Krka
Elo 1511
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+169
Elo rating comparison
Tabor Sežana1680
Krka1511
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tabor Sežana
—Draws
—Krka
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
75% conf.
CORRECT
Home
75%
@ 1.30
Draw
12%
@ 5.01
Away
13%
@ 8.48
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
46%
No
54%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
@ 1.05
No
7%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Half-Time Result
57% conf.
WRONG
Home
57%
@ 1.76
Draw
29%
@ 2.52
Away
14%
@ 7.60
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.29
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.18
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.65
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.