How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Artesanos Metepec, at 81.8%. The other outcomes represent 18.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 81.8% · Draw: 11.6% · Away win: 6.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Artesanos Metepec 1698; Cañoneros Marina 1344. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Premier Serie A · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 22:00
Artesanos Metepec
Elo 1698
3
-
0
Cañoneros Marina
Elo 1344
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
5W
0D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+354
Elo rating comparison
Artesanos Metepec1698
Cañoneros Marina1344
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Artesanos Metepec
—Draws
—Cañoneros Marina
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
82% conf.
CORRECT
Home
82%
Draw
12%
Away
7%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
100%
No
0%
Double Chance X2
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Half-Time Result
62% conf.
WRONG
Home
62%
Draw
29%
Away
9%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.