How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kansas City W, at 61.4%. The other outcomes represent 38.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.4% · Draw: 18.4% · Away win: 20.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kansas City W 1662; Bay FC 1421. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NWSL Women · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 22:30
Kansas City W
Elo 1662
5
-
1
Bay FC
Elo 1421
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+241
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Kansas City W1662
Bay FC1421
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Kansas City W
0Draws
0Bay FC
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
@ 1.51
Draw
18%
@ 4.22
Away
20%
@ 4.72
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.50
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.14
No
15%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
@ 1.98
Draw
41%
@ 2.47
Away
16%
@ 4.76
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.22
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
83%
@ 1.12
No
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.44
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.