How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Rhode Island, at 48.1%. The other outcomes represent 51.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.8% · Draw: 26.1% · Away win: 48.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brooklyn 1463; Rhode Island 1630. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 23:00
Brooklyn
Elo 1463
1
-
3
Rhode Island
Elo 1630
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-167
H2H (4)
0H
2D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Brooklyn1463
Rhode Island1630
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Brooklyn
2Draws
2Rhode Island
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
26%
@ 3.85
Draw
26%
@ 3.76
Away
48%
@ 1.75
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.62
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
@ 1.20
No
26%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
@ 4.22
Draw
41%
@ 2.31
Away
36%
@ 2.31
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.30
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
@ 1.19
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
@ 1.66
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.