How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Detroit City, at 54.9%. The other outcomes represent 45.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.9% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 21.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Detroit City 1669; Birmingham Legion 1516. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
USL Championship · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 23:00
Detroit City
Elo 1669
1
-
0
Birmingham Legion
Elo 1516
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Away Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Elo Advantage
+153
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Detroit City1669
Birmingham Legion1516
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Detroit City
0Draws
0Birmingham Legion
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
@ 1.59
Draw
23%
@ 3.87
Away
22%
@ 4.81
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
@ 1.76
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
@ 1.13
No
16%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
@ 2.15
Draw
44%
@ 2.29
Away
15%
@ 5.07
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
@ 1.33
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Over 1.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
@ 1.22
No
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.