How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Siwelele U23, at 62.5%. The other outcomes represent 37.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 17.7% · Draw: 19.8% · Away win: 62.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Chippa United U23 1250; Siwelele U23 1564. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Diski Challenge · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:00
Chippa United U23
Elo 1250
0
-
2
Siwelele U23
Elo 1564
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
-314
H2H (1)
0H
0D
1A
Elo rating comparison
Chippa United U231250
Siwelele U231564
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Chippa United U23
0Draws
1Siwelele U23
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
20%
Draw
38%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.