How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Durban City U23, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.2% · Draw: 28.5% · Away win: 29.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Durban City U23 1471; TS Galaxy U23 1484. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Diski Challenge · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:00
Durban City U23
Elo 1471
0
-
1
TS Galaxy U23
Elo 1484
FT
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
-14
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Durban City U231471
TS Galaxy U231484
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Durban City U23
0Draws
0TS Galaxy U23
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
42%
Draw
29%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
No
42%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
Home
36%
Draw
38%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.