How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Orlando Pirates U23, at 52.5%. The other outcomes represent 47.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.5% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 25.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Orlando Pirates U23 1761; Stellenbosch U23 1610. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Diski Challenge · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 08:00
Orlando Pirates U23
Elo 1761
4
-
1
Stellenbosch U23
Elo 1610
FT
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+151
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Orlando Pirates U231761
Stellenbosch U231610
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Orlando Pirates U23
0Draws
0Stellenbosch U23
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
38%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.