How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Acambaro, at 47.1%. The other outcomes represent 52.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 30.6% · Draw: 22.3% · Away win: 47.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Calor de San Pedro 1529; Acambaro 1529. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga Premier Serie A · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 00:00
Calor de San Pedro
Elo 1529
vs
Acambaro
Elo 1529
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-0
Elo rating comparison
Calor de San Pedro1529
Acambaro1529
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Calor de San Pedro
—Draws
—Acambaro
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
Home
31%
Draw
22%
Away
47%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
26%
Draw
32%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.