How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Portland Thorns W, at 51.5%. The other outcomes represent 48.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.5% · Draw: 23.3% · Away win: 25.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Portland Thorns W 1612; Boston Legacy W 1448. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
NWSL Women · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 00:45
Portland Thorns W
Elo 1612
vs
Boston Legacy W
Elo 1448
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+165
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Portland Thorns W1612
Boston Legacy W1448
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Portland Thorns W
0Draws
0Boston Legacy W
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
Home
41%
Draw
42%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
69% conf.
Yes
69%
No
31%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
55% conf.
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 3.5 Goals
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.