Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine

USL League One · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026 · 01:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Spokane Velocity, at 48.9%. The other outcomes represent 51.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 48.9% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 24.4%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: Spokane Velocity 1592; Portland Hearts of Pine 1440. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

USL League One · Sunday, Oct 4 2026 · 01:00
Spokane Velocity
Elo 1592
vs
Portland Hearts of Pine
Elo 1440
Home Form (5)
3W 0D 2L
Away Form (5)
2W 2D 1L
Elo Advantage
+152
H2H (1)
0H 0D 1A

Elo rating comparison

Spokane Velocity1592
Portland Hearts of Pine1440

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

0Spokane Velocity
0Draws
1Portland Hearts of Pine

1 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
49% conf.
Home
49%
Draw
27%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
Yes
62%
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
50% conf.
Yes
50%
No
50%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
40%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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