How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Durango, at 56.9%. The other outcomes represent 43.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 56.9% · Draw: 20.7% · Away win: 22.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Durango 1716; Mineros de Zacatecas 1544. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga de Expansión MX · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 01:00
Durango
Elo 1716
vs
Mineros de Zacatecas
Elo 1544
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+172
Elo rating comparison
Durango1716
Mineros de Zacatecas1544
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Durango
—Draws
—Mineros de Zacatecas
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
57% conf.
Home
57%
Draw
21%
Away
22%
Both Teams to Score
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
57% conf.
Yes
43%
No
57%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
Home
47%
Draw
29%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.